Match Info

Cymru North - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Buckley Town		Holywell Town

	1	X	2
	4.45	4.15	1.55
	4.4	4.33	1.59
	5.15	4.71	1.51	Watch
	4.33	3.9	1.57
	4.56	4.25	1.55
	4.75	4.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (3.82)	4.31 ↑ (4.26)	1.54 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buckley Town
19.8%

Draw
21.1%

Holywell Town
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

21.8%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

21.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buckley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Holywell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Holywell Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buckley Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holywell Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Buckley Town - Holywell Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Hewitt I. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Lindfield C. ⚽,
80', Austin R. 🟥,
90+8', 1 - 2, Edwards R. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buckley Town won 2.

Buckley Town has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Holywell Town is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Holywell Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Buckley Town has had a series of away games.

In this match, Holywell Town is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Buckley Town won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Buckley Town won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Buckley	10	3	3	4	22:17	5	12

Last Results with these Odds

Buckley Town - the odds 3.82 are the expected chance of winning is 24.29%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buckley Town
Welsh Cymru North
10.02.26	Flint Mountain - Buckley Town	5:1 ✺
31.01.26	Guilsfield - Buckley Town	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Rhyl - Buckley Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Buckley Town - Mold Alexandra	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Llandudno - Buckley Town	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLTL
- Holywell Town
Welsh Cymru North
30.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Holywell Town - Mold Alexandra	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ruthin Town - Holywell Town	3:3 ✺
01.01.26	Holywell Town - Holyhead Hotspur	4:1 ✺
26.12.25	Flint Mountain - Holywell Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
08.11.25	Holywell Town - Buckley Town	0:1
22.02.25	Holywell Town - Buckley Town	2:0
10.08.24	Buckley Town - Holywell Town	2:0
05.03.24	Holywell Town - Buckley Town	3:0
26.12.23	Buckley Town - Holywell Town	1:2
17.02.23	Buckley Town - Holywell Town	0:2
29.08.22	Holywell Town - Buckley Town	2:1

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