Match Info

HUNGARY: Merkantil Bank Liga - Round 12

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Promontor utcai Stadion (Budapest)


	Budafoki		Gyirmót

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	2.7
	2.24	3.4	2.8
	2.27	3.43	2.82
	2.35	3.43	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.36	2.8
	2.24	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.39)	3.38 ↓ (3.66)	2.8 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budafoki
40.4%

Draw
27%

Gyirmót
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

24.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

25.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budafoki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Gyirmót has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budafoki than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gyirmót than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gyirmót could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Budafoki - Gyirmót Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Horvath A. (G) 9. Elek B. 33. Kalmar O. 4. Kalnoki-Kis D. 26. Lorentz M. 77. Merenyi A. 15. Nemeth M. 5. Olah B. 18. Sztojka D. 21. Szucs P. 7. Zuigeber A.	51. Harsfalvi A. (G) 67. Csorgo V. 22. Helembai M. 84. Horvath R. 7. Katona M. 15. Kiss N. 5. Lanyi B. 95. Madarasz M. 99. Pyshchur O. 10. Szegi V. 17. Ugrai R.
Substitutes
27. Auerbach M. (G) 82. Balabas B. 20. Biro M. 30. Ecseri M. (G) 37. Fekete M. 14. Horgosi D. 11. Horvath O. 10. Kovacs D. 8. Retyi R. 23. Szabo B. 17. Szereto K. 13. Vasvari Z.	11. Adamcsek M. 9. Cserkuti-Nemeth O. 18. Hajdu A. 30. Hudak M. 24. Kecskes B. (G) 20. Kovacs D. 77. Miknyoczki A. 21. Molnar J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Merenyi A. ⚽,
19', Csorgo V. 🟨,
23', Lorentz M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Ugrai R. (Pen),
33', Lanyi B. 🟨,
35', Merenyi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Madarasz M. ↓, Kovacs D. ↑,
59', Merenyi A. ↓, Retyi R. ↑,
59', Szucs P. ↓, Szabo B. ↑,
68', Nemeth M. ↓, Kovacs D. ↑,
68', Kalnoki-Kis D. ↓, Vasvari Z. ↑,
70', Szabo B. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
71', Ugrai R. ↓, Adamcsek M. ↑,
76', Kalmar O. 🟨,
82', Kalmar O. ↓, Horvath O. ↑,
90+2', Kiss N. ↓, Hudak M. ↑,
90+3', Horvath R. ↓, Miknyoczki A. ↑,
90+3', Sztojka D. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Budafoki won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Budafoki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Budafoki won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Budafoki won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budafoki MTE
Hungarian NB II
27.10.24	BVSC-Zugló - Budafoki	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Budafoki - Csákvári	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Budafoki	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Budafoki - Soroksár	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Ajka - Budafoki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLWT
- Gyirmót
Hungarian Cup
31.10.24	Erzsébeti Spartacus MTK Budapest - Gyirmót	1:3 ET ✺
Hungarian NB II
28.10.24	Gyirmót - Vasas	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Kisvárda - Gyirmót	6:4 ✺
06.10.24	Gyirmót - Budapest Honved	3:1 ✺
29.09.24	Szeged 2011 - Gyirmót	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
11.02.24	Budafoki - Gyirmót	1:3
13.08.23	Gyirmót - Budafoki	1:1
12.02.23	Gyirmót - Budafoki	2:1
17.08.22	Budafoki - Gyirmót	0:0
24.11.19	Gyirmót - Budafoki	1:1
03.03.19	Gyirmót - Budafoki	2:1
02.09.18	Budafoki - Gyirmót	1:0

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