Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP BANK LIGA - ROUND 16

Date: 13 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Bozsik Aréna (Budapest)

Referee: Farkas A. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Sport 1


	Budapest Honved		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	6	4.5	1.5
	5.25	4.33	1.49
	5.25	4.6	1.5
	5.4	4.3	1.48
	5.65	4.79	1.51
	5.5	4	1.5
	5.5	4.45	1.48
	5.6	4.5	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↓ (5.95)	4.43 ↑ (4.41)	1.49 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budapest Honved
16.8%

Draw
20.9%

Ferencvárosi
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

20.8%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

21.5%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budapest Honved has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Budapest Honved - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: Ferencvárosi will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Merkantil Bank Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honved won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferencvárosi is a favorite.

Last 35 head-to-head matches Honved won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 24 matches and goals 27-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Honved won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 15-27.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB I
10.11.22	Budapest Honved - Vasas	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Paksi SE - Budapest Honved	5:0 ✺
29.10.22	Budapest Honved - Videoton	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Zalaegerszegi TE - Budapest Honved	0:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
19.10.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - Budapest Honved	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
09.11.22	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	3:2 ✺
06.11.22	Videoton - Ferencvárosi	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.11.22	Trabzonspor - Ferencvárosi	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
30.10.22	Ferencvárosi - Zalaegerszegi TE	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.10.22	Ferencvárosi - Monaco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
28.08.22	Ferencvárosi - Budapest Honved	3:1
16.04.22	Budapest Honved - Ferencvárosi	1:2
Hungarian Cup
01.03.22	Budapest Honved - Ferencvárosi	0:1
Hungarian NB I
18.12.21	Ferencvárosi - Budapest Honved	1:0
11.09.21	Budapest Honved - Ferencvárosi	0:1
08.05.21	Budapest Honved - Ferencvárosi	1:2
20.02.21	Ferencvárosi - Budapest Honved	1:0

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