Match Info

NB I. - Round 2

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Bozsik Arena (Budapest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Budapest Honved		MTK Budapest

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.60	2.40
	2.55	3.30	2.45
	2.55	3.40	2.50
	2.64	3.58	2.59
	2.58	3.54	2.53	Watch
	2.60	3.50	2.50
	2.50	3.36	2.42
	2.55	3.35	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 (2.57)	3.45 ↓ (3.58)	2.48 (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budapest Honved
36%

Draw
26.8%

MTK Budapest
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.1%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

26%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budapest Honved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

MTK Budapest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MTK Budapest than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Budapest Honved - MTK Budapest Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Honved will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). MTK will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
83. Tujvel T. (G) 49. Pauljevic B. 44. Baki A. 52. Boldor D. 11. Hangya S. 8. Somogyi A. 5. Csontos D. 7. Zuigeber A. 30. Somogyi T. 40. Szamosi A. (C) 19. Alic A.	1. Demjen P. (G) 2. Varju B. 4. Beriashvili I. 55. Radic S. 27. Kovacs P. 11. Jurek G. 6. Kata M. (C) 80. Zeljkovic A. 16. Laszlo K. 17. Hinora K. 20. Kerezsi Z.
Substitutes
46. Csanad S. 15. Csonka B. 1. Duzs G. (G) 3. Garcia P. 9. Gyurcso A. 31. Hadzikic O. (G) 72. Kallai K. 71. Kantor K. 23. Medgyes Z. 99. Pekar I. 17. Pinte P. 4. Szabo A.	26. Armalas V. 18. Belenyesi C. 10. Bognar I. 24. Fadgyas T. (G) 14. Horvath A. 5. Horvath D. 9. Klausz M. 77. Komaromi G. 23. Plsek J. 13. Timoteus M. 7. Zsori D. 8. Zubor A. G.
Coaches
Jacobacci M.	Pinezits M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Szamosi A. ⚽, Zuigeber A. (A),
27', Hinora K. ↓, Komaromi G. ↑,
34', Jurek G. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Somogyi A. ⚽, Somogyi T. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Jurek G. ⚽, Kerezsi Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Laszlo K. ↓, Bognar I. ↑,
46', Varju B. ↓, Armalas V. ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Kerezsi Z. ⚽, Bognar I. (A),
56', Pauljevic B. ↓, Kallai K. ↑,
64', Jurek G. ↓, Klausz M. ↑,
66', Kallai K. 🟨,
69', Szamosi A. ↓, Medgyes Z. ↑,
69', Zuigeber A. ↓, Pinte P. ↑,
74', Komaromi G. 🟨,
79', Alic A. ↓, Kantor K. ↑,
79', Boldor D. ↓, Pekar I. ↑,
82', Kerezsi Z. ↓, Zsori D. ↑,
87', 3 - 2, Csontos D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Baki A. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 3, Bognar I. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honved won 2.

Honved is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

MTK has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Honved has had a series of away games.

Recently, MTK has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Honved won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:25. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Honved won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	MTK Budapest	8	2	3	3	15:14	1	9
12	Honved	7	1	3	3	11:14	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Budapest Honved - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.31%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

MTK Budapest - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.63%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB I
25.07.26	Kisvárda - Budapest Honved	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Osijek - Budapest Honved	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Monori - Budapest Honved	0:6 ✺
08.07.26	Budapest Honved - Soroksár	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Nafta - Budapest Honved	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWWW
- MTK Budapest
Hungarian NB I
27.07.26	MTK Budapest - Zalaegerszegi TE	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	MTK Budapest - Komárno	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	MTK Budapest - LNZ Cherkasy	0:4 ✺
08.07.26	Celje - MTK Budapest	1:2 ✺
04.07.26	MTK Budapest - Kecskemeti	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.07.24	MTK Budapest - Budapest Honved	4:3
Hungarian NB I
12.03.22	MTK Budapest - Budapest Honved	1:0
21.11.21	Budapest Honved - MTK Budapest	3:0
07.08.21	MTK Budapest - Budapest Honved	1:0
02.03.21	Budapest Honved - MTK Budapest	3:2
06.12.20	Budapest Honved - MTK Budapest	2:2
21.08.20	MTK Budapest - Budapest Honved	3:1

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