Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Budapest Honved		Malmö

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.57
	3.9	3.9	1.7
	4.2	4.15	1.72	Watch
	4.3	3.85	1.62
	4.49	4.29	1.68
	4.75	3.9	1.57	Watch
	4.8	3.88	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.07)	3.97 ↑ (3.55)	1.65 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Budapest Honved
20.7%

Draw
23.3%

Malmö
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

25.7%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

17.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Budapest Honved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Budapest Honved's form might have worsened.

Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Malmö's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Budapest Honved, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-25.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Malmö, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.5%	3.1%	88.5%

Budapest Honved - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (115 of 130 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.97% – 93.95%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

No spectators.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Malmö have a series of home games.

In this match Malmö is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB I
12.09.20	Diósgyőri - Budapest Honved	2:4 ✺
30.08.20	Budapest Honved - Kisvárda	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Budapest Honved - Inter Turku	2:1 ET ✺
Hungarian NB I
21.08.20	MTK Budapest - Budapest Honved	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Budapest Honved - Baník Ostrava	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
13.09.20	Malmö - AIK	0:0 ✺
10.09.20	Örebro - Malmö	3:2 ✺
30.08.20	Malmö - Elfsborg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Malmö - Cracovia	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.08.20	Malmö - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTWW

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