Match Info

Date: 27 August 2020, Thursday


	Malmö		Cracovia

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.25
	1.5	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.53	3.9	4.76
	1.52	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	3.96 ↓ (4.13)	5.37 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö
59.9%

Draw
23.1%

Cracovia
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

22%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

13.6%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Cracovia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cracovia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96%	1.5%	2.5%

Malmö - Cracovia Predictions

Users Predictions: Malmö will win (191 of 199 users predict this - 95.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.25% – 98.71%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Malmö in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cracovia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Malmö is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Malmö to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
23.08.20	Malmö - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
16.08.20	Mjällby - Malmö	2:2 ✺
12.08.20	Malmö - Örebro	2:1 ✺
09.08.20	Falkenberg - Malmö	0:1 ✺
05.08.20	Malmö - Helsingborg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTWWW
- Cracovia Krakow
Polish Ekstraklasa
22.08.20	Cracovia - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
16.08.20	Chrobry Głogów - Cracovia	1:2 ET ✺
24.07.20	Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk	3:2 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.20	Piast Gliwice - Cracovia	1:1 ✺
15.07.20	Cracovia - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTL

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