Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 7 March 2026, Saturday
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Bugesera |
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Kiyovu Sports |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.2 |
2.68 |
2.32 |
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 |
3.49 |
2.54 |
2.28 |
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 |
3.54 |
2.63 |
2.35 |
 Watch |
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3.3 |
2.63 |
2.2 |
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3.51 |
2.61 |
2.31 |
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3 |
2.75 |
2.25 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.77) |
2.64 ↓
(2.84) |
2.29 ↓
(2.52) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bugesera
26.8% | Draw
33.9% | Kiyovu Sports
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bugesera's form might have worsened.Kiyovu Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bugesera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiyovu Sports than the current prediction. (-4.3%)Bugesera - Kiyovu Sports Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 3.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.4:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Kiyovu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
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| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Bugesera - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 32.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 09.11.25 | Kiyovu Sports - Bugesera | 0:0 | | 27.05.25 | Bugesera - Kiyovu Sports | 5:0 | | 26.10.24 | Kiyovu Sports - Bugesera | 1:2 | | 26.01.24 | Kiyovu Sports - Bugesera | 2:2 | | 02.09.23 | Bugesera - Kiyovu Sports | 4:0 | | 25.02.23 | Kiyovu Sports - Bugesera | 1:0 | | 20.08.22 | Bugesera - Kiyovu Sports | 1:3 |
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