Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 11 January 2026, SundayLocation: Umuganda Stadium (Gisenyi)
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Etincelles |
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Bugesera |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.72 |
2.98 |
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2.4 |
2.63 |
3.1 |
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2.38 |
2.77 |
3.13 |
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2.37 |
2.8 |
3 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.28) |
2.73 ↓
(2.87) |
3.05 ↓
(3.14) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Etincelles
37.5% | Draw
33% | Bugesera
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-1%)Etincelles - Bugesera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 2.Etincelles is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, Bugesera has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Etincelles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Etincelles is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.2:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Etincelles won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Etincelles | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 7 |
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| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 24.05.25 | Etincelles - Bugesera | 0:1 | | 21.09.24 | Bugesera - Etincelles | 1:1 | | 31.03.24 | Bugesera - Etincelles | 2:2 | | 05.11.23 | Etincelles - Bugesera | 3:2 | | 21.05.23 | Etincelles - Bugesera | 3:2 | | 01.10.22 | Bugesera - Etincelles | 3:1 | | 17.02.22 | Etincelles - Bugesera | 0:0 |
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