Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 14 February 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
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Bugesera |
|
Gorilla |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.72 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.27 |
2.73 |
3.35 |
|
 |
2.26 |
2.79 |
3.49 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.23 |
3.01 |
3.32 |
|
 |
2.28 |
2.75 |
3.25 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.1) |
2.77 ↓
(2.89) |
3.37 ↓
(3.52) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bugesera
40.3% | Draw
32.8% | Gorilla
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Gorilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorilla than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Bugesera - Gorilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Bugesera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Bugesera might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Gorilla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
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| 17 | Bugesera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 31.10.25 | Gorilla - Bugesera | 2:1 | | 02.05.25 | Gorilla - Bugesera | 0:1 | | 06.11.24 | Bugesera - Gorilla | 0:0 | | 25.02.24 | Gorilla - Bugesera | 1:1 | | 14.10.23 | Bugesera - Gorilla | 2:2 | | 29.01.23 | Bugesera - Gorilla | 0:0 | | 18.11.22 | Gorilla - Bugesera | 2:0 |
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