Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bugesera		Muhazi United

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.9	4.2
	1.82	3	4.6
	1.86	2.93	4.8
	1.83	2.88	4.91
	1.82	3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)	2.94 ↓ (3.02)	4.62 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bugesera
49.5%

Draw
30.9%

Muhazi United
19.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.9%

30.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

32.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Muhazi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Muhazi United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Bugesera - Muhazi United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Recent matches Bugesera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Muhazi is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Muhazi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bugesera have a series of guest games.

Recently Muhazi have a series of home games.

In this match Bugesera is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bugesera won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bugesera FC
Rwanda Premier League
15.03.25	Bugesera - Police	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Musanze - Bugesera	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Amagaju - Bugesera	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Vision - Bugesera	0:4 ✺
15.02.25	Gasogi United - Bugesera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LTWWT
- Muhazi United
Rwanda Premier League
14.03.25	Gorilla - Muhazi United	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Muhazi United - Police	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Muhazi United - Etincelles	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Muhazi United - Marines	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Muhazi United - Vision	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
30.11.24	Muhazi United - Bugesera	0:2
09.12.23	Muhazi United - Bugesera	1:0
30.04.23	Muhazi United - Bugesera	1:0
23.10.22	Muhazi United - Bugesera	0:2
23.10.15	Muhazi United - Bugesera	2:0

Bugesera - Muhazi United