Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 26 December 2025, Friday
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Bugesera |
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Police |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.85 |
2.68 |
2.08 |
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 |
3.91 |
2.79 |
2.11 |
Watch |
 |
4 |
2.8 |
1.91 |
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 |
4.11 |
3.08 |
1.95 |
Watch |
 |
4.2 |
3 |
1.84 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.01 ↓ (4.09) |
2.87 ↓ (3) |
1.98 ↑ (1.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bugesera 22.6% | Draw 31.6% | Police 45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+3%)Bugesera - Police Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bugesera will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Police will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 2.Bugesera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Police is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Bugesera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Police is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.6:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 15.03.25 | Bugesera - Police | 0:1 | | 13.12.24 | Police - Bugesera | 2:2 | | 05.12.23 | Bugesera - Police | 4:2 | | 11.03.23 | Bugesera - Police | 2:1 | | 13.10.22 | Police - Bugesera | 2:1 | | 13.06.22 | Bugesera - Police | 2:0 | | 24.01.22 | Police - Bugesera | 1:2 |
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