Match Info

Premier League - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bukovyna Stadium (Chernivtsi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Ukraine	18:00	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
International	15:00	OneFootball TV


	Bukovyna Chernivtsi		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.60	1.85
	3.95	3.40	1.82
	5.3	4.38	1.63	Watch
	4.06	3.64	1.82	Watch
	3.75	3.45	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↓ (6.5)	3.69 ↓ (4.37)	1.79 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bukovyna Chernivtsi
22.4%

Draw
25.4%

Polissya Zhytomyr
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21.7%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

21.2%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bukovyna Chernivtsi's performance.

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polissya Zhytomyr might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bukovyna Chernivtsi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polissya Zhytomyr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Penkov G. (G) 24. Busko A. 5. Pryimak V. 2. Karas D. 95. Stasyuk P. 44. Vitenchuk V. 97. Ilyin O. 20. Zaderaka M. 25. Grusha V. 11. Dakhnovskyi V. 7. Kozhushko O.	1. Kudryk O. (G) 31. Maisuradze G. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 4. Kravchenko M. 8. Babenko R. 45. Bragaru M. 14. Emerllahu L. 27. Fedor O. 7. Nazarenko O. 89. Gayduchyk M.
Substitutes
17. Babak F. 3. Bezuglyy M. 10. Boychuk B. 9. Dadashov R. 30. Kanevtsev D. (G) 77. Klepac M. 21. Kravchuk D. 18. Odinaka E. 12. Pidlepenets Y. 4. Sakiv T. 70. Talla M. 6. Tankovskiy V.	18. Andriyevski O. 22. Araujo A. 94. Gryshkevych D. 25. Ivanov O. 16. Krasniqi I. 95. Krasnopir I. 55. Krushynskyi B. 77. Makarenko N. (G) 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 99. Rasko M. 19. Shepelev V. 10. Veleten V.
Coaches
Shyshchenko S.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bragaru M. ⚽, Kravchenko M. (A),
26', Emerllahu L. 🟨,
30', Pryimak V. 🟨,
31', Maisuradze G. 🟨,
32', Dakhnovskyi V. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bukovyna won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Bukovyna (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Polissya is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Bukovyna may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Polissya has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Polissya is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Bukovyna has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:11 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bukovyna against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	10	8	1	1	23:8	15	25
10	Bukovyna	10	1	6	3	7:12	-5	9

Outrights of Ukrainian Premier League for now

Polissya Zhytomyr: 26.51% Bukovyna: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:0
Ukrainian Premier League
19.09.26	Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
13.09.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Zorya Luhansk	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTT
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
18.09.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kryvbas	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kudrivka	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
04.09.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kudrivka	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.03.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.11.22	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:2
25.09.22	Polissya Zhytomyr - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:0
Ukrainian Druha Liga
31.08.19	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2
19.08.18	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:2
27.04.18	Polissya Zhytomyr - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:1
12.11.17	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Polissya Zhytomyr	2:1

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