Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Referee: Blavatsky R. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	OneFootball TV


	Kharkiv		Bukovyna Chernivtsi

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.60	3.70
	1.92	3.35	3.7
	1.92	3.36	4.4
	1.74	3.82	4.77	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.35
	1.87	3.53	4.32	Watch
	1.91	3.35	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.57)	3.46 ↓ (3.95)	4.12 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
50.1%

Draw
27.1%

Bukovyna Chernivtsi
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23.2%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bukovyna Chernivtsi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+12.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bukovyna Chernivtsi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yermakov G. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 13. Salyuk V. 31. Shabanov A. 29. Smolyakov A. 14. Gadzhyev R. 5. Kalyuzhnyi I. (C) 18. Pavlyuk Y. 7. Zabergja B. 10. Paraco C. 98. Itodo P.	94. Penkov G. (G) 24. Busko A. 5. Pryimak V. 2. Karas D. 95. Stasyuk P. (C) 70. Talla M. 6. Tankovskiy V. 44. Vitenchuk V. 11. Dakhnovskyi V. 9. Dadashov R. 21. Kravchuk D.
Substitutes
9. Antyukh D. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 11. Castillo S. 37. Dubko V. 25. Kogut I. 24. Martynyuk O. 85. Plichko O. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 19. Rashica E. 30. Varakuta D. (G) 8. Yatsyk O.	3. Bezuglyy M. 25. Grusha V. 97. Ilyin O. 30. Kanevtsev D. (G) 77. Klepac M. 7. Kozhushko O. 1. Matsyuk A. (G) 18. Odinaka E. 12. Pidlepenets Y. 22. Putrya I. 78. Yakhontov M. 20. Zaderaka M.
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Shyshchenko S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Karas D. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Paraco C. ⚽, Gadzhyev R. (A),
56', Vitenchuk V. ↓, Grusha V. ↑,
56', Tankovskiy V. ↓, Klepac M. ↑,
56', Dadashov R. ↓, Zaderaka M. ↑,
67', Gadzhyev R. ↓, Antyukh D. ↑,
68', Talla M. ↓, Kozhushko O. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Zabergja B. ⚽, Krupskyi I. (A),
75', Dakhnovskyi V. ↓, Ilyin O. ↑,
85', Itodo P. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
85', Zabergja B. ↓, Rashica E. ↑,
90', Paraco C. ↓, Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↑,
90', Pavlyuk Y. ↓, Yatsyk O. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 5th and 9th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Kharkiv could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Kharkiv carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kharkiv has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kharkiv against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12
11	Bukovyna	7	1	4	2	4:6	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
05.09.26	Kharkiv - Obolon	5:0 ✺
31.08.26	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLL
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukrainian Cup
16.09.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
13.09.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Zorya Luhansk	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	Nyva Ternopil - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.05.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Kharkiv	1:2
14.04.25	Kharkiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:1

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