Match Info
Premier League - Round 11Date: 16 December 2025, TuesdayLocation: FUFA Technical Centre (Njeru)
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Bul |
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Police |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.35 |
3.1 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.13 |
2.88 |
3.27 |
|
 |
2.24 |
3.03 |
3.15 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.3 |
3.04 |
2.96 |
Watch |
 |
2.37 |
3 |
2.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.6) |
2.98 ↓
(3.2) |
2.98 ↑
(2.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Bul
39.6% | Draw
30.2% | Police
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Police might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bul than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Police could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Bul - Police Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bul (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Ikamba B. ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Ndugwa K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 84', 1 - 2, Jakony D. ⚽,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Obedi B. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5).Bul is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Police is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bul won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Bul won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Bul - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.56%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ugandan Super League | | | 16.04.25 | Bul - Police | 0:0 | | 16.09.24 | Police - Bul | 0:0 | | 22.10.21 | Bul - Police | 2:1 | | 16.02.21 | Police - Bul | 2:0 |
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