Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Lugazi FC Stadium (Najjembe)


	Lugazi Municipal		Police

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.90	2.28
	3.08	2.76	2.46
	3.00	2.70	2.30
	3.09	2.79	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.94)	2.79 ↓ (2.87)	2.35 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugazi Municipal
29.8%

Draw
32.1%

Police
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

31.2%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugazi Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 0 - 1, Matovu R. ⚽,
90', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 1.

Police may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lugazi won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lugazi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Police	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7
8	Lugazi	5	2	0	3	4:9	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lugazi Municipal FC
Ugandan Super League
09.09.26	Entebbe UPPC - Lugazi Municipal	0:1 ✺
01.09.26	NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal	3:1 ✺
19.05.26	Express - Lugazi Municipal	0:0 ✺
12.05.26	Bul - Lugazi Municipal	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Lugazi Municipal - Mbarara City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 WLTTL
- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
10.09.26	Police - UPDF	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Blacks Power - Police	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Police - Mbarara City	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	Police - Vipers	0:0 ✺
29.04.26	Police - UPDF	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
12.02.26	Police - Lugazi Municipal	2:1
10.12.25	Lugazi Municipal - Police	1:1
12.02.25	Lugazi Municipal - Police	1:0
20.11.24	Police - Lugazi Municipal	0:0
Uganda Big League
24.02.24	Police - Lugazi Municipal	1:1
12.10.23	Lugazi Municipal - Police	0:0

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