Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Bombo Stadium (Kampala)


	UPDF		Police

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.92	2.78
	2.69	2.88	2.6
	2.39	3.07	2.86	Watch
	2.55	2.84	2.71
	2.4	2.96	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.39)	2.93 ↓ (3.07)	2.77 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UPDF
36.3%

Draw
30.9%

Police
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

UPDF - Police Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. UPDF will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Police will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. UPDF (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 0 - 1, Bukenya A. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 4).

Police has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UPDF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UPDF won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, UPDF won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
29.10.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - UPDF	3:2 ✺
15.10.25	UPDF - Maroons	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	Mbarara City - UPDF	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Express - UPDF	1:0 ✺
29.04.25	Vipers - UPDF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
29.10.25	Police - Maroons	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Villa - Police	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	NEC FC - Police	2:2 ✺
02.10.25	Police - Express	2:1 ✺
26.09.25	Police - Mbarara City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
27.11.24	UPDF - Police	2:2
10.02.22	Police - UPDF	2:2
04.01.22	UPDF - Police	0:1
14.04.21	Police - UPDF	3:0

UPDF - Police: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide