The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bulleen Lions 49.8%
Draw 24.3%
Manningham United 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
24.7%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
23.9%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bulleen Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bulleen Lions's performance.
Manningham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manningham United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bulleen Lions than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bulleen Lions that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manningham United than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manningham United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bulleen Lions - Manningham United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))
Bulleen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Manningham United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Manningham United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Bulleen could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bulleen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Bulleen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Bulleen Lions - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.77%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.