Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 11

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Manningham United		Eltham Redbacks

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.65	2.28
	2.87	3.67	2.12
	2.57	3.71	2.33	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.05
	2.5	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.32)	3.65 ↓ (4.2)	2.22 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manningham United
34.4%

Draw
24.8%

Eltham Redbacks
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

21.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

21.8%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manningham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Eltham Redbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manningham United than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Manningham United - Eltham Redbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

Manningham United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eltham Redbacks is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Eltham Redbacks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manningham United
Australian Victoria Premier League
25.04.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - Manningham United	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Melbourne Knights - Manningham United	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Manningham United - Northcote City	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Manningham United - Melbourne Srbija	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Manningham United - North Sunshine Eagles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLW
- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
24.04.26	Eltham Redbacks - Northcote City	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Melbourne Srbija - Eltham Redbacks	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Eltham Redbacks - North Sunshine Eagles	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Eltham Redbacks - Langwarrin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWLW

Manningham United - Eltham Redbacks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide