Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Bulleen Lions

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.40	2.70
	1.91	3.45	3.20
	2.32	3.34	2.77
	2.26	3.64	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.30	2.70
	2.27	3.38	2.74
	2.26	3.50	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.91)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	2.77 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
41%

Draw
26.3%

Bulleen Lions
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

25.7%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

27.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Northcote City's form might have worsened.

Bulleen Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Northcote City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bulleen Lions than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bulleen Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Northcote City - Bulleen Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, ⚽,
89', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 1.

In recent matches, Northcote City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bulleen is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Northcote City won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Northcote City won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
30.08.26	Bulleen Lions - Northcote City	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Northcote City - Brunswick Juventus	1:2 ✺
17.08.26	Melbourne Victory Youth - Northcote City	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Northcote City - Eltham Redbacks	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - Northcote City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW
- Bulleen Lions
Australian Victoria Premier League
30.08.26	Bulleen Lions - Northcote City	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Melbourne Srbija - Bulleen Lions	0:1 ✺
17.08.26	Bulleen Lions - North Sunshine Eagles	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	North Geelong Warriors - Bulleen Lions	0:4 ✺
27.07.26	Bulleen Lions - Langwarrin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
30.08.26	Bulleen Lions - Northcote City	3:1
15.05.26	Northcote City - Bulleen Lions	1:1
19.07.25	Bulleen Lions - Northcote City	2:1
04.04.25	Northcote City - Bulleen Lions	4:1
17.08.24	Northcote City - Bulleen Lions	0:0
13.05.24	Bulleen Lions - Northcote City	1:1
Australian NPL Victoria
11.08.18	Northcote City - Bulleen Lions	2:4

Northcote City - Bulleen Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide