Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Bullense		Santomera

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.3
	2.55	3.6	2.33
	2.49	3.58	2.27
	2.56	3.74	2.33
	2.53	3.55	2.31
	2.55	3.6	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.24)	3.6 ↓ (3.71)	2.31 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bullense
35.8%

Draw
25.1%

Santomera
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

24.4%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

23.9%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bullense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bullense's performance.

Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santomera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bullense than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bullense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santomera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bullense - Santomera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 5)
46', 0 - 1, El Aoud I. ⚽,
90+4', 0 - 2, El Aoud I. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Bullense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santomera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bullense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Santomera has had a series of away games.

Santomera could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bullense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Bullense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.04.25	UCAM Murcia B - Bullense	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Bullense - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Cartagena B - Bullense	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Bullense - Deportivo Marítimo	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Cieza - Bullense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTTLL
- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
27.04.25	Bala Azul - Santomera	2:1 ✺
20.04.25	Alcantarilla - Santomera	1:4 ✺
06.04.25	Minerva - Santomera	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Santomera - Muleño	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	El Palmar - Santomera	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.12.24	Santomera - Bullense	4:0

Bullense - Santomera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide