The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BumProm Gomel 33.6%
Draw 23.3%
Lida 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.5%
23.9%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.9%
23.5%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BumProm Gomel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lida than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
BumProm Gomel - Lida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Yarukov V. (G) 72. Fazylov A. 47. Kabyshev A. 4. Kruzhilin S. 2. Kutkovich G. 33. Makushinsky Y. 91. Miroevskiy A. 21. Ovsyanik N. 29. Samotoy M. 9. Sidorenko K. 8. Zhestkin I.
25. Gremza E. (G) 10. Chernodarov A. 7. Drozdovich A. 13. Karpovich E. 6. Katsynel M. 9. Kontsevoy I. 3. Legchilin A. 20. Mazurich A. 2. Poluyanov A. 27. Vashkevich D. 23. Zhestarev M.
Substitutes
66. Absamadov S. 10. Drapeza V. 11. Dubrovskiy V. 93. Isachenko E. (G) 5. Kaplunov D. 20. Kazimir M. 77. Latykhov D. 95. Tychko M. 59. Zhevnerenko A.
11. Chergeyko D. 22. Chvostovic D. 8. Galushko A. 4. Orekhvo M. 1. Vasilyuchek V. (G) 16. Yanushko A. 14. Zaitsev N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Zhestkin I. ⚽, Kutkovich G. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Sidorenko K. ⚽,
28', Kabyshev A. 🟨,
31', Vashkevich D. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 🟨,
75', 3 - 0, ⚽,
84', 4 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga (Promotion: )).
Recent results have been tough for BumProm (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lida shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Lida has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, BumProm has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 2.2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for BumProm against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:3 goals (averaging 3.5:1.5 per game).