The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slonim 21.9%
Draw 24.5%
BumProm Gomel 53.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.7%
24.6%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.4%
23.8%
52%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slonim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
BumProm Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slonim than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Miskevich D. (G) 77. Bulychev A. 88. Chuyko N. 20. Glotko A. 99. Kalinchenko M. 23. Klunok M. 66. Krutorozhkin K. 17. Sokol A. 11. Starovoytov A. 14. Tkatsevich M. 5. Vechorko D. (C)
93. Isachenko E. (G) 11. Dubrovskiy V. 22. Egorov I. 5. Kaplunov D. 4. Kruzhilin S. 77. Latykhov D. 91. Miroevskiy A. 21. Ovsyanik N. 9. Sidorenko K. (C) 19. Vershinin G. 59. Zhevnerenko A.
Substitutes
34. Adamchik T. 44. Agapov A. (G) 10. Alenchev P. 55. Chuyko A. 27. Dzukaev M. 19. Konev A. 8. Mushulov R. 12. Semin I. 24. Shcherbakov V. 18. Zhukovskiy A.
17. Fastovets V. 20. Kazimir M. 33. Makushinsky Y. 1. Syrel T. (G) 95. Tychko M. 8. Zhestkin I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Tkatsevich M. ⚽,
28', 🟨,
37', Zhevnerenko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Kalinchenko M. ⚽, Bulychev A. (A),
82', 🟨,
86', 3 - 0, Zhukovskiy A. ⚽, Mushulov R. (A),
89', 3 - 1, Sidorenko K. ⚽, Egorov I. (A),
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).
Recent form of Slonim has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, BumProm has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Slonim has had a series of home games.
In this match, BumProm is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slonim won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Slonim won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).