Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: City Stadium (Dolbizno)


	Niva Dolbizno		BumProm Gomel

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	3.15
	1.71	3.95	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.89)	3.83 ↑ (3.55)	3.35 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 12%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niva Dolbizno
50.4%

Draw
23.1%

BumProm Gomel
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.1%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

22.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niva Dolbizno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

BumProm Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niva Dolbizno than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Niva Dolbizno - BumProm Gomel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dovnar N. (G) 23. Fedortsov D. 7. Galuza D. 62. Gordeychuk M. 88. Kozel R. 9. Kuratnik A. 20. Martysevich A. 29. Pampukha P. 18. Shcherbo V. 8. Sibilev D. 41. Tkhagalegov A.	16. Yarukov V. (G) 72. Fazylov A. 47. Kabyshev A. 4. Kruzhilin S. 2. Kutkovich G. 33. Makushinsky Y. 91. Miroevskiy A. 21. Ovsyanik N. 29. Samotoy M. 9. Sidorenko K. 8. Zhestkin I.
Substitutes
1. Belov R. (G) 3. Druchik M. 10. Dybin V. 35. Kashtelyan D. (G) 21. Leshkevich N. 69. Mashagin E. 4. Milyutin V. 15. Monich I. 77. Shubovich V. 47. Skomarovskiy V.	66. Absamadov S. 11. Dubrovskiy V. 79. Kabyshev V. 5. Kaplunov D. 20. Kazimir M. 77. Latykhov D. 95. Tychko M. 59. Zhevnerenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Galuza D. ⚽, Pampukha P. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Gordeychuk M. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 2 - 1, Sidorenko K. ⚽, Makushinsky Y. (A),
28', Tkhagalegov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', 🟨,
86', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 8).

Niva has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

BumProm has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Niva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Niva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Niva won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Niva won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Niva Dolbizno	27	17	4	6	67:31	36	55
7	BumProm Gomel	27	12	5	10	52:41	11	41

Last Results with these Odds

Niva Dolbizno - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 47.1%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niva Dolbizno
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.09.26	Minsk 2 - Niva Dolbizno	3:4 ✺
30.08.26	Niva Dolbizno - Osipovichi	6:0 ✺
15.08.26	Soligorsk - Niva Dolbizno	2:6 ✺
05.08.26	Niva Dolbizno - Slutsk	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Niva Dolbizno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW
- FC BumProm Gomel
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.09.26	BumProm Gomel - SKA-1938	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Slutsk - BumProm Gomel	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	BumProm Gomel - Dinamo Minsk 2	2:1 ✺
10.08.26	Slonim - BumProm Gomel	3:1 ✺
06.08.26	BATE 2 - BumProm Gomel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
17.05.26	BumProm Gomel - Niva Dolbizno	0:1
08.09.24	BumProm Gomel - Niva Dolbizno	0:0
11.05.24	Niva Dolbizno - BumProm Gomel	3:3

Niva Dolbizno - BumProm Gomel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide