Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Milliy Stadium (Tashkent)

Referee: Abduvohidov R. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uzbekistan	Futbol TV


	Bunyodkor		Neftchi Fargona

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.6
	5.46	3.8	1.63
	5.11	3.66	1.62	Watch
	4.4	3.6	1.62
	4.24	4.14	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↓ (5.27)	3.76 ↑ (3.4)	1.63 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bunyodkor
19.2%

Draw
24.4%

Neftchi Fargona
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

26.8%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.7%

25.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bunyodkor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bunyodkor than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona Predictions

Users Predictions: Neftchi Fargona will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Botti F. (G) 4. Normurodov N. (C) 6. Yuldashov B. 15. Bugarin M. 17. Olimzhonov M. 23. Rakhimzhonov A. 77. Toshmirzaev B. 66. Tulkinbekov A. 21. Abdusalomov N. 28. Mavlonkulov S. 9. Krivokapic M.	1. Ergashev B. (G) 2. Pulatov I. 20. Gofurov A. (C) 4. Ciger B. 34. Sayfiev F. 10. Iskanderov J. 23. Djokic J. 8. Jovovic V. 7. Ismoilov A. 32. Marusic Z. 22. Odilov A.
Substitutes
1. Abdujalilov A. (G) 11. Abdunabiev S. 27. Anvarov I. 47. Hasanov S. 13. Khakimov M. 14. Nematjonov S. 8. Pletnev D. 10. Turakulov A. 7. Umarov S.	15. Abduganiyev N. 30. Fomin R. 14. Giyosov K. 11. Jumaev A. 18. Perica S. 77. Ratinho 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M. 6. Yuldoshev I.
Coaches
Zeytullaev I.	Ismoilov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Djokic J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bugarin M. ↓, Hasanov S. ↑,
46', Krivokapic M. ↓, Pletnev D. ↑,
60', Marusic Z. ↓, Perica S. ↑,
60', Odilov A. ↓, Giyosov K. ↑,
64', Toshmirzaev B. ↓, Turakulov A. ↑,
71', Jovovic V. ↓, Ratinho ↑,
71', Ismoilov A. ↓, Yuldoshev I. ↑,
78', Rakhimzhonov A. ↓, Umarov S. ↑,
78', Olimzhonov M. ↓, Abdunabiev S. ↑,
82', Iskanderov J. ↓, Jumaev A. ↑,
90+3', Sayfiev F. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bunyodkor won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Recently, Neftchi Fargona has had a series of home games.

In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bunyodkor won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:20. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Bunyodkor won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftchi Fargona	23	16	4	3	52:19	33	52
13	Bunyodkor	22	7	1	14	22:36	-14	22

Last Results with these Odds

Neftchi Fargona - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 55.87%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bunyodkor Tashkent
Uzbek League
07.04.26	Mashal Mubarek - Bunyodkor	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Bunyodkor - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Xorazm Urganch - Bunyodkor	1:2 ✺
11.03.26	Surkhon Termez - Bunyodkor	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Bunyodkor - Dinamo Samarqand	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWTL
- Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League
09.04.26	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Qizilqum - Neftchi Fargona	0:4 ✺
20.03.26	Neftchi Fargona - Lokomotiv Tashkent	3:1 ✺
Uzbek Super Cup
15.03.26	Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor	1:0 ✺
Uzbek League
10.03.26	Neftchi Fargona - Andijan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
02.08.25	Neftchi Fargona - Bunyodkor	1:2
08.03.25	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	2:2
03.11.24	Neftchi Fargona - Bunyodkor	2:1
01.06.24	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	0:3
28.10.23	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	2:1
15.05.23	Neftchi Fargona - Bunyodkor	1:0
08.09.22	Bunyodkor - Neftchi Fargona	1:2

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