The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Neftchi Fargona 48.2%
Draw 28.1%
Pakhtakor 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
27.8%
26.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.3%
27.7%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 15. Abduganiyev N. 5. Alibaev I. (C) 4. Ciger B. 9. Giyosov K. 8. Jovovic V. 11. Jumaev A. 52. Kouao K. 32. Marusic Z. 34. Sayfiev F. 6. Yuldoshev I.
35. Kuvvatov S. (G) 55. Abdumazhidov M. 7. Alizhonov K. 23. Buriev A. 15. Erkinov K. 29. Hussein A. 17. Khamdamov D. 10. Mozgovoy A. 34. Nasrullaev S. 27. Sobirkhuzhaev S. 4. Tahseen Z.
Substitutes
30. Fomin R. 20. Gofurov A. 7. Ismoilov A. 18. Perica S. 2. Pulatov I. 77. Ratinho 71. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M.
20. Abdullaev D. 77. Bozorov O. 90. Chinedu S. 50. Flamarion 9. Ibrokhimov I. 6. Mirkobilov S. 12. Nazarov V. (G) 21. Resan B. 8. Saitov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Erkinov K. ↓, Resan B. ↑,
42', Khamdamov D. ↓, Flamarion ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
70', Marusic Z. ↓, Perica S. ↑,
70', Giyosov K. ↓, Ubaydullaev M. ↑,
74', Alizhonov K. 🟨,
79', Hussein A. ↓, Chinedu S. ↑,
79', Sobirkhuzhaev S. ↓, Saitov D. ↑,
79', Jumaev A. ↓, Ratinho ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Perica S. ⚽,
90+2', Sayfiev F. 🟨,
90+2', Tahseen Z. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 1.
Neftchi Fargona has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pakhtakor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Neftchi Fargona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Neftchi Fargona might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 0.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.5).
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Ergashev B. (G) 
Ciger B. 
Jovovic V. 
Kouao K. 
Hussein A. 
Perica S. 
Ratinho 
Chinedu S. 
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