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Current Win Probability
Neftchi Fargona 59.6%
Draw 22.4%
Lokomotiv Tashkent 18%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
57.4%
24.4%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
23.9%
17.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Lokomotiv Tashkent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Tashkent than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Neftchi Fargona - Lokomotiv Tashkent Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ergashev B. (G) 5. Alibaev I. 4. Ciger B. 9. Giyosov K. 20. Gofurov A. 10. Iskanderov J. 7. Ismoilov A. 52. Kouao K. 18. Perica S. 77. Ratinho 6. Yuldoshev I.
1. Kozlov A. (G) 18. Kucherenko O. 17. Mirzaev S. 28. Mukhammadiev S. 45. Nisic J. 10. Shodiboev S. 15. Susnjar A. 8. Tupliev B. 23. Turopov D. 99. Yakhshiboev J. 33. Zoteev O.
Substitutes
8. Jovovic V. 11. Jumaev A. 32. Marusic Z. 22. Odilov A. 2. Pulatov I. 34. Sayfiev F. 71. Toshmirzaev B. 45. Turaev A. (G) 21. Ubaydullaev M.
11. Abdukholikov T. 7. Abrayev Q. 16. Baklanov D. (G) 61. Ibraimov N. 14. Ivanov N. 9. Nurulloev S. 22. Poyonov S. 70. Reimov M. 26. Yuldashev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 4)
13', 0 - 1, Yakhshiboev J. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 0 - 2, Tupliev B. ⚽,
34', 0 - 3, Yakhshiboev J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Giyosov K. ⚽,
44', 1 - 4, Turopov D. ⚽,
45', 2 - 4, Ismoilov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Giyosov K. ↓, Odilov A. ↑,
46', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Sayfiev F. ↑,
46', Perica S. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
57', Shodiboev S. ↓, Abdukholikov T. ↑,
57', Tupliev B. ↓, Nurulloev S. ↑,
63', Alibaev I. 🟨,
67', Ismoilov A. ↓, Jumaev A. ↑,
67', Turopov D. ↓, Reimov M. ↑,
69', Kouao K. 🟨,
74', Reimov M. 🟨,
75', Alibaev I. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
76', Yakhshiboev J. ↓, Poyonov S. ↑,
76', Mirzaev S. ↓, Yuldashev A. ↑,
90+2', Ratinho 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', Jovovic V. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 4.
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
Neftchi Fargona could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Neftchi Fargona is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Neftchi Fargona has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:32 (averaging 1.1:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Neftchi Fargona against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 7:12 goals (averaging 0.9:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Neftchi Fargona - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 57.4%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Ergashev B. (G) 
Ciger B. 
Kouao K. 
Perica S. 
Ratinho 
Kozlov A. (G) 
Kucherenko O. 
Susnjar A. 
Jovovic V. 
Ivanov N. 
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