Match Info

Super League - Round 20

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Milliy Stadium (Tashkent)

Referee: To'ychiboyev O. (Uzb)


	Bunyodkor		Surkhon Termez

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.30	2.10
	2.90	3.30	2.10
	3.03	3.61	2.21
	2.16	3.59	2.89	Watch
	3.00	3.35	2.20
	2.95	3.59	2.16
	2.95	3.45	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.71)	3.46 ↑ (3.13)	2.25 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bunyodkor
32.5%

Draw
26.6%

Surkhon Termez
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

29.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bunyodkor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bunyodkor than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Surkhon Termez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bunyodkor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Surkhon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abdujalilov A. (G) 27. Anvarov I. 3. Rakhmanov S. 44. Bekmurodov A. 45. Tursunmahammadov S. 10. Turakulov A. 21. Abdusalomov N. 39. Muhammadov F. 14. Nematjonov S. 88. Annamatov M. 11. Abdunabiev S.	25. Boymurodov O. (G) 66. Shaydulov B. 6. Shamsiev B. 7. Tursunov D. 8. Sherbutaev K. 15. Ramazonov D. 11. Friday R. 18. Uktamov B. 17. Abdukhamidov S. 19. Kodirov F. 21. Dzebniauri T.
Substitutes
18. Akhmadjonov N. 16. Botti F. (G) 74. Bukrin I. 42. Ikromov A. 13. Khakimov M. 56. Mirfayziyev A. 19. Murodov M. 77. Olimzhonov M. 31. Sulaymonov A.	10. Abdullazhonov S. 41. Daminov A. 31. Ergashev K. 86. Merganov D. (G) 39. Mirusmonov M. 27. Musaxonov M. 13. Nurullayev A. 70. Salikhjonov F. 23. Yusupov K.
Coaches
Zeytullaev I.	Gafurov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Ramazonov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Kodirov F. ↓, Mirusmonov M. ↑,
67', Anvarov I. 🟥,
70', Nematjonov S. ↓, Akhmadjonov N. ↑,
71', Uktamov B. ↓, Yusupov K. ↑,
76', Sherbutaev K. 🟨,
77', 0 - 1, Dzebniauri T. ⚽,
78', Annamatov M. ↓, Olimzhonov M. ↑,
78', Muhammadov F. ↓, Sulaymonov A. ↑,
85', Turakulov A. 🟨,
87', Abdunabiev S. ↓, Ikromov A. ↑,
87', Tursunov D. ↓, Musaxonov M. ↑,
87', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Daminov A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bunyodkor won 2.

Bunyodkor has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Surkhon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bunyodkor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bunyodkor won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bunyodkor won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Termez Surkhon	23	7	6	10	19:28	-9	27
15	Bunyodkor	23	7	1	15	23:39	-16	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bunyodkor Tashkent
Uzbek League
26.08.26	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Bunyodkor	4:1 ✺
20.08.26	Bunyodkor - Kokand 1912	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Navbahor Namangan - Bunyodkor	4:3 ✺
02.08.26	Qizilqum - Bunyodkor	3:0 AWA. ✺
26.07.26	Bunyodkor - Pakhtakor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Surkhon Termez
Uzbek League
25.08.26	Surkhon Termez - AGMK	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez	0:0 ✺
13.08.26	Surkhon Termez - Sogdiana Jizzakh	1:3 ✺
07.08.26	Surkhon Termez - Navbahor Namangan	0:1 ✺
03.08.26	Kokand 1912 - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
11.03.26	Surkhon Termez - Bunyodkor	0:0
13.08.25	Surkhon Termez - Bunyodkor	3:1
28.03.25	Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez	3:1
22.09.24	Surkhon Termez - Bunyodkor	0:1
05.05.24	Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez	0:2
29.09.23	Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez	0:1
Uzbek Cup
16.08.23	Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez	2:3 ET

Bunyodkor - Surkhon Termez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide