The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Surkhon Termez 27.8%
Draw 26.4%
AGMK 45.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.9%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
28.6%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Surkhon Termez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Surkhon Termez's form might have worsened.
AGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AGMK's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surkhon Termez than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Surkhon Termez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
0%
87.5%
Surkhon Termez - AGMK Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Surkhon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). AGMK will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for AGMK: 64.6% โ 100%.
25. Boymurodov O. (G) 66. Shaydulov B. 26. Shukurullaev B. 6. Shamsiev B. 7. Tursunov D. 8. Sherbutaev K. 18. Uktamov B. 11. Friday R. 15. Ramazonov D. 19. Kodirov F. 21. Dzebniauri T.
23. Abdunabiev K. (G) 3. Toirov S. 44. Karimov A. 7. Akhmadaliev D. 5. Papava G. 28. Sentoku A. 4. Kosimov M. 19. Mukimzhonov A. 17. Abdurazzakov N. 10. Sobirzhonov A. 9. Kholmurodov A.
Substitutes
17. Abdukhamidov S. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 31. Ergashev K. 33. Kuvandikov U. 86. Merganov D. (G) 39. Mirusmonov M. 27. Musaxonov M. 32. Rahimjonov B. 91. Temirkhanov A.
11. Abdurakhmonov A. 22. Ahrorov S. 13. Begimov E. 35. Ilyosov J. (G) 27. Koyich U. 77. Pesic I. 30. Sarimsakov A. 8. Turdialiev A. 21. Tursunkulov K.
Coaches
Gafurov A.
Kasymov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Shukurullaev B. 🟥,
41', Kosimov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kodirov F. ↓, Musaxonov M. ↑,
58', Dzebniauri T. ↓, Abdukhamidov S. ↑,
58', Uktamov B. ↓, Temirkhanov A. ↑,
66', Abdurazzakov N. ↓, Tursunkulov K. ↑,
66', Kholmurodov A. ↓, Abdurakhmonov A. ↑,
66', Kosimov M. ↓, Koyich U. ↑,
68', Sobirzhonov A. 🟨,
77', Sentoku A. ↓, Pesic I. ↑,
78', Temirkhanov A. 🟨,
80', Shaydulov B. ↓, Ergashev K. ↑,
86', Musaxonov M. 🟨,
88', Mukimzhonov A. ↓, Ahrorov S. ↑,
89', Ahrorov S. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Super League (Relegation) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 2.
Surkhon is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
AGMK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
AGMK will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Surkhon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 0.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Surkhon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
Usa
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Boymurodov O. (G) 
Friday R. 
Dzebniauri T. 
Sentoku A. 
Pesic I. 
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