Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 10

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Becerril

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.55
	2.64	2.89	2.74	Watch
	2.58	2.89	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.09)	2.88 ↓ (2.94)	2.65 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
34.5%

Draw
31.4%

Becerril
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

31%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

30.7%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Becerril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Becerril might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos Promesas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Becerril could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgos Promesas - Becerril Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, Cantero M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 0, Garces I. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Burgos Promesas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Becerril is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Becerril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Burgos Promesas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos Promesas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
27.10.24	Santa Marta Tormes - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
23.10.24	Burgos Promesas - Villaralbo	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Burgos Promesas - Mojados	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Leonesa B - Burgos Promesas	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Burgos Promesas - Palencia CA	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLLT
- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
27.10.24	Becerril - La Virgen del Camino	0:2 ✺
23.10.24	Laguna de Tenerife - Becerril	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Becerril - Leonesa B	2:0 ✺
13.10.24	Palencia CA - Becerril	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Becerril - Mirandés B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.03.24	Becerril - Burgos Promesas	3:1
14.10.23	Burgos Promesas - Becerril	1:0
21.12.19	Burgos Promesas - Becerril	3:0

Burgos Promesas - Becerril: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide