The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Becerril 37.7%
Draw 31.1%
La Virgen del Camino 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
30.9%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
29.9%
38.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Becerril has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Becerril's performance.
La Virgen del Camino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Virgen del Camino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Becerril that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Virgen del Camino than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Virgen del Camino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Becerril - La Virgen del Camino Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Lopez P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Becerril won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Becerril won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Becerril won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).