Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Briviesca

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.43	4	6.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.39)	4 ↓ (4.2)	6.06 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
62.7%

Draw
22.5%

Briviesca
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

21.6%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

21%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Briviesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Briviesca than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Burgos Promesas - Briviesca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Nsukula G. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Menor J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', 🟥,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Burgos Promesas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Briviesca is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Burgos Promesas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Briviesca have a series of guest games.

In this match Burgos Promesas is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Burgos Promesas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Burgos Promesas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.02.25	Mojados - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Burgos Promesas - La Virgen del Camino	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Laguna de Tenerife - Burgos Promesas	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Burgos Promesas - Leonesa B	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Palencia CA - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTLW
- CF Briviesca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
15.02.25	Laguna de Tenerife - Briviesca	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Briviesca - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Palencia CA - Briviesca	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Atlético Mansillés - Briviesca	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Ciudad Rodrigo - Briviesca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
18.04.19	Briviesca - Burgos Promesas	1:1
01.12.18	Burgos Promesas - Briviesca	2:0

Burgos Promesas - Briviesca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide