Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Burgos Promesas		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.98
	3.85	3	1.97
	3.67	2.98	2.13
	3.65	3.1	2.04
	3.95	3.15	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.48)	3.05 ↑ (2.7)	2 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
24.5%

Draw
30%

Guijuelo
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

33.7%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

30.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Guijuelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guijuelo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guijuelo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgos Promesas - Guijuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Burgos Promesas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Guijuelo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.02.23	Zamora - Burgos Promesas	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Burgos Promesas - Langreo	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Ourense CF - Burgos Promesas	4:3 ✺
04.02.23	Burgos Promesas - Real Oviedo B	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Burgos Promesas - Compostela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TLLLW
- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
26.02.23	Guijuelo - Compostela	2:3 ✺
19.02.23	Marino de Luanco - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Guijuelo - Rayo Cantabria	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Laredo - Guijuelo	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Guijuelo - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.10.22	Guijuelo - Burgos Promesas	3:0

Burgos Promesas - Guijuelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide