Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Burgos Promesas		Compostela

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.25	1.62
	4.7	2.9	1.84
	5	3.3	1.64
	5.77	3.37	1.67
	5.7	3.2	1.67
	5.2	3.4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.27 ↑ (3.84)	3.24 ↑ (2.7)	1.68 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
17.3%

Draw
28.2%

Compostela
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

33.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

33.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burgos Promesas's form might have worsened.

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Compostela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos Promesas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Compostela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Burgos Promesas - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Burgos Promesas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Compostela is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Compostela is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Burgos Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.01.23	Marino de Luanco - Burgos Promesas	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Rayo Cantabria - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Burgos Promesas - Laredo	0:1 ✺
17.12.22	Valladolid B - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	Burgos Promesas - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTLLL
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.01.23	Compostela - Real Oviedo B	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Marino de Luanco - Compostela	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Compostela - Rayo Cantabria	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Laredo - Compostela	0:0 ✺
11.12.22	Compostela - Valladolid B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.09.22	Compostela - Burgos Promesas	2:1

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