Match Info

Date: 23 October 2021, Saturday


	Burgos Promesas		UD Logroñés Promesas

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.9
	2.2	3.2	2.85
	2.08	3.15	3.2
	2.17	3.22	3.42
	2.14	3.24	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos Promesas
42.2%

Draw
28.6%

UD Logroñés Promesas
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.4%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

19.1%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

UD Logroñés Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Burgos Promesas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UD Logroñés Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Burgos Promesas - UD Logroñés Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Recent matches Burgos Promesas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UD Logroñés Promesas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos Promesas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.10.21	Gernika - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	Burgos Promesas - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Sestao - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Burgos Promesas - Racing Santander B	0:2 ✺
19.09.21	Cayón - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTLW
- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.10.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1 ✺
09.10.21	San Juan - UD Logroñés Promesas	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Real Sociedad C	3:3 ✺
25.09.21	Laredo - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0 ✺
18.09.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Tropezón	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWTTW

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