Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Gernika		Burgos Promesas

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.6
	1.8	3.25	4.1
	1.94	3.2	3.55
	2.01	3.27	3.83
	1.95	3.28	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.22)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.78 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
47.8%

Draw
28%

Burgos Promesas
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

19.5%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gernika's performance.

Burgos Promesas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos Promesas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-19.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gernika that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos Promesas than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos Promesas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gernika - Burgos Promesas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Gernika is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.10.21	Arenas Club de Getxo - Gernika	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Gernika - San Juan	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Real Sociedad C - Gernika	2:3 ✺
19.09.21	Gernika - Laredo	2:3 ✺
12.09.21	Tropezón - Gernika	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTWLW
- Burgos Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.10.21	Burgos Promesas - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Sestao - Burgos Promesas	1:1 ✺
26.09.21	Burgos Promesas - Racing Santander B	0:2 ✺
19.09.21	Cayón - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
12.09.21	Burgos Promesas - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTLWW

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