Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 20 November 2022, Sunday


	UD Logroñés Promesas		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.15	2.88	2.3
	2.95	3	2.27
	3.07	2.93	2.43
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.04	3.13	2.25
	3	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.31)	2.98 ↓ (3.18)	2.28 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Logroñés Promesas
29.7%

Draw
30.5%

Arenas Club de Getxo
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

27.6%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Logroñés Promesas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Logroñés Promesas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenas Club de Getxo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UD Logroñés Promesas - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches UD Logroñés Promesas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenas Club is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arenas Club could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arenas Club will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches UD Logroñés Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams UD Logroñés Promesas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Logroñés Promesas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.11.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Beasain	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Alfaro - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:0 ✺
23.10.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Utebo	3:2 ✺
15.10.22	Tarazona - UD Logroñés Promesas	5:0 ✺
09.10.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Izarra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLWLW
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.11.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Alfaro	0:0 ✺
30.10.22	Utebo - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Tarazona	3:3 ✺
16.10.22	Izarra - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.03.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:0
16.10.21	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:1

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