Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Burladés		Cortes

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2
	3.45	3.2	2.02
	3.42	2.98	2.04
	3.51	3.16	2.01
	3.45	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (3.43)	3.13 ↓ (3.17)	2.02 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burladés
26.4%

Draw
28.9%

Cortes
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

28.6%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

21.9%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Burladés have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Cortes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burladés than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burladés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cortes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Salas D. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Algarra J. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Musti ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 1 - 3, Salas D. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Burladés has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cortes is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cortes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Cortes have a series of home games.

Cortes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burladés won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Burladés won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCD Burladés
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
14.12.24	Egüés - Burladés	2:1 ✺
07.12.24	Burladés - Txantrea	3:3 ✺
30.11.24	San Juan - Burladés	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Burladés - Bidezarra	0:1 ✺
16.11.24	Beti Kozkor - Burladés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
05.12.24	Artajonés - Cortes	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Cortes - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Cortes - Mutilvera	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Cortes - Ardoi	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Cortes - Granada	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
13.01.24	Cortes - Burladés	1:0
11.02.23	Cortes - Burladés	0:0
15.10.22	Burladés - Cortes	1:2
15.01.22	Burladés - Cortes	0:1
16.11.19	Cortes - Burladés	0:0

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