The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley U21 43.1%
Draw 25.5%
Derby County U21 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
22.9%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
23.2%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Burnley U21 - Derby County U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Edwards C. (G) 2. Stanley M. 5. Campbell M. (C) 3. Scott C. 7. Johnson Z. 4. Savage T. 6. Clark E. 11. Pouani B. 8. Lucas 10. Castell L. 9. Okonkwo D.
1. Bilokapic N. (G) 2. Gordon I. 4. Canoville R. 5. Osayande A. (C) 3. Robinson K. 11. Jones F. 7. Smith C. 6. Tola M. 8. Hodges D. 10. Wilson C. 9. Oguntolu J.
Substitutes
17. Borgesson B. 16. Brierley G. 18. Derbyshire B. 14. King C. 15. Lewis J. 12. Robinson J. (G) 19. Zhang Jiaming
15. Banks L. 18. Davidson J. 12. Gordon K. 13. Halliwell A. (G) 14. McAndrew N. 16. Osong J. 17. Wren K.
Coaches
Farrell A.
Maye D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Johnson Z. ⚽,
30', Gordon I. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Oguntolu J. ⚽, Smith C. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Johnson Z. ⚽,
39', Robinson K. 🟨,
42', Savage T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lucas ↓, Brierley G. ↑,
46', Canoville R. ↓, Davidson J. ↑,
56', Scott C. 🟨,
58', Wilson C. ↓, Osong J. ↑,
61', Savage T. ↓, King C. ↑,
70', Hodges D. ↓, McAndrew N. ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Pouani B. ⚽,
77', Stanley M. 🟨,
81', Pouani B. ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
82', Johnson Z. ↓, Derbyshire B. ↑,
82', Okonkwo D. ↓, Borgesson B. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Clark E. ⚽,
Preview
Recent results have been tough for Burnley U21 (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Derby U21 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Burnley U21 has faced a series of away games on the road.
Burnley U21 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Burnley U21 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.
Specifically in home fixtures for Burnley U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.