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Current Win Probability
Burnley U21 16.6%
Draw 17.2%
Sunderland U21 66.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
23.9%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
23.3%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley U21's form might have worsened.
Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley U21 than the current prediction. (+19.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-25.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Burnley U21 - Sunderland U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cooney O. (G) 2. Blackie A. 4. Campbell M. (C) 6. Brierley G. 3. Pimlott O. 5. Delcroix H. 7. Bevan J. 8. Clark E. 10. Brown K. M. 11. Pouani B. 9. Ryan K.
1. Allan I. (G) 2. Jones J. 5. Kindon B. 6. Holcroft F. 3. Lightfoot A. 4. Moore E. 8. Middlemas B. (C) 7. Burke M. 10. Jones H. 11. Tuterov T. 9. Geragusian F.
Substitutes
14. Ashton J. 12. Chester F. (G) 17. Johnson Z. 16. Veevers C. 15. Williams J.
14. Jones J. 13. Metcalf B. (G) 12. Neild J. 16. Scott F. 15. Whittaker J.
Coaches
Farrell A.
Murty G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
11', 0 - 1, Jones H. ⚽, Moore E. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Tuterov T. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
44', 0 - 3, Tuterov T. ⚽, Jones H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bevan J. ↓, Ashton J. ↑,
46', Delcroix H. ↓, Veevers C. ↑,
46', Pouani B. ↓, Johnson Z. ↑,
46', Tuterov T. ↓, Whittaker J. ↑,
54', 🟨,
58', Blackie A. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
61', Jones J. 🟨,
62', Ryan K. 🟨,
70', Moore E. ↓, Scott F. ↑,
70', Burke M. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
70', Jones J. ↓, Neild J. ↑,
78', Middlemas B. 🟨,
85', Pimlott O. 🟨,
85', Holcroft F. 🟨,
90+3', Geragusian F. 🟨,
Preview
Burnley U21 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sunderland U21 is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sunderland U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Burnley U21 has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Burnley U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Including home match between the teams, Burnley U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.