Match Info

National League Cup

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston)


	Boston United		Sunderland U21

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	3.5
	1.78	3.7	3.55
	1.80	4.11	3.54	Watch
	1.84	4.41	3.36
	1.75	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.77)	3.98 ↓ (4)	3.51 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
51.2%

Draw
22.9%

Sunderland U21
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

19.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boston United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Boston United - Sunderland U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Jones B. (G) 15. Carson M. 7. Coyle R. 32. Cropper J. 11. Donnelly K. 2. Grist B. 23. Hampson O. 14. John-Lewis L. N. 17. Lankshear A. 19. Richards J. 4. Teale C. (C)	1. Allan I. (G) 4. Burke M. 2. Holcroft F. 6. Johnson Z. 7. Jones J. 10. Jones J. 5. Kindon B. 3. Lightfoot A. 8. Middlemas B. 9. Moore E. 11. Whittaker J.
Substitutes
28. Alonzi L. 33. Bradley B. 31. Ging F. 8. Hill D. 1. Lovett R. (G) 27. Norkett M. 6. Sloggett G.	16. Dinsdale C. 14. Geragusian F. 17. Hester B. 13. Metcalf B. (G) 15. Neild J. 18. Scott F. . Trialist

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Kindon B. (Own goal),
28', 2 - 0, John-Lewis L. N. ⚽, Hampson O. (A),
38', 3 - 0, Cropper J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Teale C. ↓, Ging F. ↑,
46', Cropper J. ↓, Bradley B. ↑,
47', Jones J. 🟨,
47', Johnson Z. ↓, Trialist ↑,
49', Hampson O. 🟨,
52', 4 - 0, Donnelly K. ⚽,
58', Jones J. 🟨,

Preview

Boston United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sunderland U21 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boston United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boston United is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boston United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Boston United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League
13.09.25	Southend United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Boston United - Solihull Moors	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Hartlepool United - Boston United	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Truro City - Boston United	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Boston United - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTLW
- Sunderland U21
English Premier League Cup
08.09.25	Bromley U21 - Sunderland U21	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.08.25	Sunderland U21 - West Ham United U21	2:4 ✺
22.08.25	Southampton U21 - Sunderland U21	3:2 ✺
18.08.25	Sunderland U21 - Tottenham Hotspur U21	3:5 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Scunthorpe United - Sunderland U21	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League Cup
05.11.24	Boston United - Sunderland U21	1:0

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