Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Bursaspor		Boluspor

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.2
	2.15	3.15	3.05
	2.07	3.15	3.2
	2.23	3.35	3.36
	2.15	3.1	3.25
	2.15	3.32	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.3)	3.25 ↑ (3.25)	3.21 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
43.2%

Draw
28.2%

Boluspor
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

19.4%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Boluspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-15.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boluspor than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boluspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bursaspor - Boluspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Bursaspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Boluspor is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boluspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bursaspor will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Bursaspor won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
26.09.21	Bursaspor - Ankaragücü	0:4 ✺
19.09.21	Tuzlaspor - Bursaspor	0:0 ✺
15.09.21	Bursaspor - Samsunspor	4:1 ✺
12.09.21	Altınordu - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
28.08.21	Bursaspor - Eyüpspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWLL
- Boluspor
Turkish First League
03.10.21	Boluspor - Denizlispor	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Gençlerbirliği - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
20.09.21	Boluspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
16.09.21	Keçiörengücü - Boluspor	0:3 ✺
12.09.21	Boluspor - Kocaelispor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
07.03.21	Boluspor - Bursaspor	2:1
31.10.20	Bursaspor - Boluspor	4:2
14.03.20	Bursaspor - Boluspor	1:1
10.11.19	Boluspor - Bursaspor	1:1
Club Friendly
08.10.17	Bursaspor - Boluspor	1:1
Turkish Cup
13.01.16	Boluspor - Bursaspor	0:1
10.01.16	Bursaspor - Boluspor	3:0

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