Match Info

Date: 16 January 2022, Sunday


	Bursaspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.6
	2.5	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.43	3.1	2.65
	2.64	3.45	2.67
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.57	3.3	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.8)	3.24 ↓ (3.35)	2.57 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
36.1%

Draw
28.3%

Erzurumspor
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

27.5%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

19.9%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bursaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erzurumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bursaspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs)).

Bursaspor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erzurum BB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Erzurum BB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bursaspor have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bursaspor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bursaspor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor
Turkish First League
08.01.22	Adanaspor - Bursaspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
30.12.21	Gaziantep - Bursaspor	2:1 penalties ✺
Turkish First League
25.12.21	Menemenspor - Bursaspor	0:0 ✺
19.12.21	Bursaspor - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
16.12.21	Umraniyespor - Bursaspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
09.01.22	Erzurumspor - Menemenspor	1:1 ✺
25.12.21	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	3:1 ✺
22.12.21	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	3:3 ✺
14.12.21	Erzurumspor - Gençlerbirliği	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.08.21	Erzurumspor - Bursaspor	2:1
22.02.20	Erzurumspor - Bursaspor	2:1
Turkish Cup
19.12.19	Bursaspor - Erzurumspor	2:1
04.12.19	Erzurumspor - Bursaspor	4:2
Turkish First League
28.09.19	Bursaspor - Erzurumspor	1:0
Turkish Super League
04.05.19	Erzurumspor - Bursaspor	2:0
02.12.18	Bursaspor - Erzurumspor	2:1

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