Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 10

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Tuzlaspor		Erzurumspor

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.4	3.25	3	Watch
	2.27	3.2	2.74
	2.47	3.19	3.07
	2.25	3.1	2.88
	2.33	3.2	2.94
	2.31	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.42)	3.17 ↑ (3.07)	2.91 ↓ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzlaspor
39.3%

Draw
29%

Erzurumspor
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30.4%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

32.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzlaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Kaplan F. (G) 6. Tas M. 5. Ay S. 4. Hasanalizada B. 96. Giritlioglu C. 77. Bas S. 28. Togui W. 44. Bangoura S. 10. Akarslan M. 17. Yazar A. 8. Yahaya A.	1. Bakirbas G. (G) 77. Hanalp C. 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Sasi F. 2. Akbas M. 20. Ozhan M. 25. Estrela 5. Artarslan B. 8. Akgun S. 17. Rosheuvel M. 10. Tozlu E. (C)
Substitutes
33. Akkan G. 27. Asatekin S. 3. Awuku P. 19. Ciftci H. 22. Cinar Z. 42. Coskun M. 67. Demiryurek G. (G) 90. Firinci S. B. 72. Keklik H. 11. Kose A.	19. Budak U. 3. Kirtay Y. 9. Mevlutoglu H. 14. Ozfesli A. 18. Sert O. 24. Shala H. 99. Varlik G. 13. Yagci O. (G) 16. Yavas M. E. 11. Yilmaz G.
Coaches
Kocabiyik G.	Kutlu H.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuzlaspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuzlaspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
21.10.23	Tuzlaspor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:2 ✺
30.09.23	Tuzlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Boluspor - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Tuzlaspor - Adanaspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWTLW
- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
21.10.23	Erzurumspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
06.10.23	Kocaelispor - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
01.10.23	Erzurumspor - Boluspor	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Adanaspor - Erzurumspor	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Erzurumspor - Altay	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
04.02.23	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:2
03.09.22	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	4:1
20.04.22	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:1
22.12.21	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	1:1
Turkish Cup
26.10.16	Erzurumspor - Tuzlaspor	1:4

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