Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Tonuslouglu D. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Erzurumspor		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	4.2
	1.72	3.5	4.33
	1.75	3.5	3.85
	1.67	3.6	4.3
	1.74	3.79	4.76
	1.73	3.3	4.33
	1.69	3.68	4.35	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.87)	3.57 ↑ (3.39)	4.29 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
53.2%

Draw
25.6%

Denizlispor
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

26.7%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

26.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Erzurumspor - Denizlispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Denizlispor will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Erzurumspor: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Erzurumspor is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
17.09.22	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Tuzlaspor - Erzurumspor	4:1 ✺
27.08.22	Erzurumspor - Samsunspor	2:2 ✺
21.08.22	Göztepe - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
15.08.22	Erzurumspor - Pendikspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTT
- Denizlispor
Turkish First League
17.09.22	Denizlispor - Gençlerbirliği	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Sakaryaspor - Denizlispor	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Denizlispor - Bandırmaspor	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Manisa FK - Denizlispor	3:2 ✺
22.08.22	Denizlispor - Çaykur Rizespor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
20.05.22	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	4:0
25.12.21	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	3:1
Turkish Super League
17.04.21	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	2:3
23.12.20	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	1:2
Turkish First League
11.03.18	Denizlispor - Erzurumspor	2:1
29.10.17	Erzurumspor - Denizlispor	4:1

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