Match Info

K League 2 - Round 20

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Busan I Park		Seoul E-Land

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.25	Watch
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.72	3.5	2.28
	2.78	3.65	2.43
	2.71	3.64	2.36	Watch
	2.7	3.55	2.35
	2.61	3.44	2.29	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.79)	3.5 ↓ (3.61)	2.32 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
34.2%

Draw
26.2%

Seoul E-Land
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

25.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

25%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Seoul E-Land has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Busan I Park than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seoul E-Land than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Busan I Park - Seoul E Land Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Seoul E-Land will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 4. Kim J. 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 7. Xavier 88. Park Hye-seong 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 80. Gutemberg 9. Kim Chan 66. Kim Se-Hoon	1. Min Seong-Jun (G) 13. Oh In-Pyo 6. Baek Ji-Ung 5. Osmar 23. Bae Seo-Joon 30. Park Chang-Hwan (C) 24. Yoon Seok-Joo 7. Euller 10. Alan Carius 47. Lee Joo-hyuk 16. Bak Jae-Yong
Substitutes
18. Baek Ga-On 3. Choi Dong-ryeol 99. Cristian Renato 10. Gabriel Honorio 21. Kim Dong-Wook 6. Lee Dong-Su 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J. 5. Woo Ju-Seong	70. An Joo-wan 11. Byeon Gyung-Jun 80. Chico Geraldes 22. Jo Jun-hyun 8. Kim Hyun 19. Kim Ju-Hwan 20. Kim Oh-Kyu 2. Park Jae-Hwan 18. Ueom Ye-hoon (G)
Coaches
Cho S.	Kim Do-Kyun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Gutemberg 🟨,
31', Lee Joo-hyuk ↓, Byeon Gyung-Jun ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Park Chang-Hwan ↓, Chico Geraldes ↑,
46', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
46', Kim Chan ↓, Cristian Renato ↑,
46', Gutemberg ↓, Gabriel Honorio ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Cristian Renato ⚽, Gabriel Honorio (A),
59', Yoon Seok-Joo 🟨,
70', Bae Seo-Joon ↓, Kim Ju-Hwan ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Baek Ji-Ung ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Bak Jae-Yong ⚽, Byeon Gyung-Jun (A),
87', Euller ↓, An Joo-wan ↑,
88', Baek Ji-Ung ↓, Kim Oh-Kyu ↑,
90', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,
90+1', Jeon Seung-Jin ↓, Cho Dong-Jae ↑,
90+1', Chico Geraldes 🟨,
90+2', Min Seong-Jun 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Seoul E-Land may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Busan I Park has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Seoul E-Land	26	14	6	6	45:30	15	48
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41

Last Results with these Odds

Seoul E-Land - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.63%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan I Park - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Busan I Park - Geoje Citizen	4:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
12.07.26	Busan I Park - Gimpo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW
- Seoul E-Land
South Korean K-League 2
24.07.26	Seoul E-Land - Cheonan City	4:3 ✺
18.07.26	Suwon - Seoul E-Land	2:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Seoul E-Land	4:2 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 2
05.07.26	Gimhae - Seoul E-Land	1:3 ✺
07.06.26	Seoul E-Land - Cheongju	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
14.03.26	Seoul E-Land - Busan I Park	2:3
19.10.25	Seoul E-Land - Busan I Park	3:0
31.05.25	Seoul E-Land - Busan I Park	1:4
13.04.25	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	2:2
05.10.24	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	0:0
10.08.24	Seoul E-Land - Busan I Park	2:1
03.03.24	Busan I Park - Seoul E-Land	0:3

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