Match Info

K League 2 - Round 18

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Busan I Park

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15	Watch
	2.80	3.10	2.25
	3	3.15	2.25
	3.33	3.4	2.3
	3.02	3.2	2.38	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.2
	2.99	3.25	2.34	Watch
	3	3.15	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.88)	3.21 ↑ (3.11)	2.26 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
30.4%

Draw
28.8%

Busan I Park
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.7%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	85.7%	14.3%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 25. Kudo S. 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 16. Ryu Jun-sun 33. Park Su-bin (C) 19. Yang Tae-yang 18. Kim Min-jae 11. Lee Jun-Sang	1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Gabriel Honorio 88. Park Hye-seong 6. Lee Dong-Su 66. Kim Se-Hoon 9. Kim Chan 99. Cristian Renato
Substitutes
13. Hong S. 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 36. Lee Jae-Wook 17. Park Byeong-gyu 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 10. Villero P. 32. Yun Min-Ho 5. Yu Sun	18. Baek Ga-On 80. Gutemberg 21. Kim Dong-Wook 4. Kim J. 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 47. Son Hwi 97. Son J. 7. Xavier
Coaches
Jeon Kyung-jun	Cho S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Lee Dong-Su 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Yang Tae-yang ⚽, Lee Jun-Sang (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Gutemberg ↑,
46', Lee Dong-Su ↓, Kim Min-Hyeok ↑,
54', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
54', You Ju-An ↓, Villero P. ↑,
65', Kim Min-jae ↓, Yun Min-Ho ↑,
69', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Lee Jae-Wook ↑,
69', Kudo S. ↓, Yu Sun ↑,
75', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Son Hwi ↑,
75', Kim Chan ↓, Kim J. ↑,
77', Kim Hee-Seung 🟨,
83', Park Hye-seong ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
88', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
90+1', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,
90+2', Yu Sun 🟨,
90+2', Cristian Renato 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 1.

In recent matches, Seongnam has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Busan I Park is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Busan I Park has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Seongnam won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pocheon	2:1 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTT
- Busan I Park
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Busan I Park - Geoje Citizen	4:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
12.07.26	Busan I Park - Gimpo	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	3:3 ✺
05.06.26	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Busan I Park - Paju Frontier	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
02.03.26	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
23.11.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	2:1
12.07.25	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0
24.05.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	0:0
01.09.24	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1
29.06.24	Busan I Park - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:2
19.05.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	0:1

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