Match Info

K League 2 - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Busan I Park		Gimpo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.00	3.00	Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.85
	2.48	3.05	2.63
	2.41	3.32	3.11
	2.37	3.35	2.91	Watch
	2.40	3.20	3.00
	2.26	3.12	3.28	Watch
	2.29	3.10	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.65)	3.16 (3.16)	2.97 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan I Park
39.6%

Draw
29.3%

Gimpo
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan I Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Gimpo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	28.6%	7.1%

Busan I Park - Gimpo Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Busan I Park will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Gimpo will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Busan I Park: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koo Sang-Min (G) 11. Ahn Hyun-Beom 77. Jang Ho-Ik (C) 20. Kim Hee-Seung 17. Jeon Seung-Jin 10. Gabriel Honorio 88. Park Hye-seong 8. Kim Min-Hyeok 66. Kim Se-Hoon 99. Cristian Renato 9. Kim Chan	21. Yoon Bo-Sang (G) 47. Kim Dong-Min 77. Chapman C. 4. Kim Tae-Han 17. Lim C. 8. Djalma 7. Kim Do-Hyeok (C) 32. Jang Bu-seong 96. Paulo Henrique 50. Park Dong-Jin 24. Mina L.
Substitutes
18. Baek Ga-On 22. Choi Ye-Hoon 80. Gutemberg 21. Kim Dong-Wook 13. Kim Hyun-Min 4. Kim J. 6. Lee Dong-Su 34. Park Ji-Min (G) 97. Son J.	6. Choi Jae-Young 18. Kim Jun-seo 20. Kim Min-Seog 16. Kim Sung-Joon 5. Lee Chan-hyung 14. Lee Hak-Min 1. Lee Sang-min (G) 11. Lee Si-Heon 3. Park Kyung-Rok
Coaches
Cho S.	Ko Jeong-woon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Djalma ↓, Kim Sung-Joon ↑,
11', Jang Ho-Ik ↓, Kim J. ↑,
45+3', 1 - 0, Kim Min-Hyeok ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim Se-Hoon ↓, Kim Hyun-Min ↑,
53', Kim Tae-Han 🟨,
56', Kim Chan ↓, Lee Dong-Su ↑,
56', Kim Min-Hyeok ↓, Baek Ga-On ↑,
59', Jang Bu-seong ↓, Lee Hak-Min ↑,
59', Kim Do-Hyeok ↓, Lee Si-Heon ↑,
72', Park Dong-Jin ↓, Kim Jun-seo ↑,
85', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Kim Dong-Wook ↑,
86', Kim Hee-Seung 🟨,
88', Kim Sung-Joon 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Cristian Renato ⚽,
90+3', Cristian Renato 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 1.

Gimpo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Busan I Park won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan I Park won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Busan	26	12	5	9	41:34	7	41
7	Gimpo FC	25	8	11	6	31:30	1	35

Last Results with these Odds

Busan I Park - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Gimpo - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.23%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan I Park
South Korean K-League 2
05.07.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	3:3 ✺
05.06.26	Busan I Park - Chungnam Asan	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Busan I Park - Paju Frontier	4:1 ✺
17.05.26	Hwaseong - Busan I Park	3:2 ✺
10.05.26	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTWLW
- Gimpo FC
South Korean K-League 2
05.07.26	Gimpo - Chungnam Asan	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Gimpo - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Gimhae - Gimpo	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Paju Frontier - Gimpo	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ansan Greeners - Gimpo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
25.10.25	Busan I Park - Gimpo	4:1
06.07.25	Gimpo - Busan I Park	3:0
22.02.25	Busan I Park - Gimpo	0:0
24.08.24	Busan I Park - Gimpo	0:0
23.06.24	Gimpo - Busan I Park	1:0
17.03.24	Busan I Park - Gimpo	0:1
26.08.23	Gimpo - Busan I Park	2:3

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