Match Info

K3 League - Round 8

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)


	Busan Kyotong		Gangneung

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.05	2.82
	2.46	3.32	2.85
	2.42	3.21	2.76	Watch
	2.3	2.9	2.75
	2.38	3.08	2.72	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.22)	3.14 ↓ (3.31)	2.77 ↓ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
38.3%

Draw
28.9%

Gangneung
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.8%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Gangneung has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gangneung than the current prediction. (-2%)

Busan Kyotong - Gangneung Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
78', 3 - 0, ⚽,
84', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Busan Kyotong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Busan Kyotong has had a series of home games.

Busan Kyotong will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan Kyotong won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37
11	Gangneung	23	7	6	10	21:32	-11	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
19.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Daejeon Korail	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTLT
- Gangneung FC
South Korean K3 League
18.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Gangneung	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Chuncheon - Gangneung	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Yeoju - Gangneung	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Gangneung - Mokpo City	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Gangneung - Dangjin Citizen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
12.10.25	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	2:1
06.06.25	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	2:0
13.07.24	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	2:1
31.03.24	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	0:3
11.11.23	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	2:3
16.06.23	Busan Kyotong - Gangneung	0:1
29.10.22	Gangneung - Busan Kyotong	3:1

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