Match Info

K3 League - Round 6

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Changwon City		Busan Kyotong

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.05	3.35
	2.12	3.19	3.58
	1.91	3.35	3.77	Watch
	2	2.9	3.5
	2.04	3.1	3.46
	2.14	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.14)	3.12 ↓ (3.15)	3.47 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
44.6%

Draw
29.2%

Busan Kyotong
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

29.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Busan Kyotong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Changwon City - Busan Kyotong Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Busan Kyotong has had a series of home games.

In this match, Changwon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changwon won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Changwon won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Busan Kyotong	23	10	7	6	40:29	11	37
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
05.04.26	Jeonbuk 2 - Changwon City	2:3 ✺
29.03.26	Chuncheon - Changwon City	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Changwon City - Yeoju	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Mokpo City - Changwon City	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Changwon City - Dangjin Citizen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLTW
- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean K3 League
05.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Yangpyeong	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Siheung	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Daejeon Korail	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Busan Kyotong	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Busan Kyotong - Pocheon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
08.11.25	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	3:0
28.06.25	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	2:1
21.07.24	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	2:1
07.04.24	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	2:1
27.10.23	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	1:2
02.06.23	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	0:1
15.07.22	Changwon City - Busan Kyotong	1:1

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