Match Info

K3-K4 League Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Busan Gudeok Stadium (Busan)


	Busan Kyotong		Ulsan Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.35	4.02
	1.74	3.1	3.9
	1.77	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 (1.77)	3.28 ↓ (3.4)	4.17 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Busan Kyotong
51%

Draw
27.4%

Ulsan Citizen
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.3%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Busan Kyotong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ulsan Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Busan Kyotong than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (-2%)

Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 3.

Busan Kyotong is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ulsan Citizen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Busan Kyotong is a strong favorite.

We predict that Busan Kyotong will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Busan Kyotong won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Busan Kyotong won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Busan Kyotong FC
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Jinju Citizen	1:2 penalties ✺
South Korean K3 League
26.07.26	Yangpyeong - Busan Kyotong	2:4 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Suwon Bluewings	2:1 ET ✺
South Korean K3 League
11.07.26	Siheung - Busan Kyotong	0:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
05.07.26	Busan Kyotong - Gijang United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LWWWW
- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Ulsan HD	1:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
26.07.26	Chuncheon - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Seoul E-Land	4:2 AET ✺
South Korean K3 League
10.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Yeoju	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
19.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:0
14.09.25	Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong	0:1
18.05.25	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	2:1
26.10.24	Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong	3:1
16.06.24	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:4
23.09.23	Ulsan Citizen - Busan Kyotong	1:3
27.05.23	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	1:1

Upcoming Matches